The H1N1 Virus: The Audacity Of Hype... Part 2

Last January, we first wrote about the tremendously over-hyped "Swine Flu" http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/01/h1n1-virus-audacity-of-hype.html.  The irresponsible handling of this virus has now ensnared the World Health Organization (WHO).

European criticism of the WHO's handling of the H1N1 pandemic intensified yesterday with the release of two reports that accused the agency of exaggerating the threat posed by the virus and failing to disclose possible influence by the pharmaceutical industry on its recommendations for how countries should respond.

The WHO's response caused widespread, unnecessary fear and prompted countries around the world to waste millions of dollars, according to one report.  At the same time, the Geneva-based arm of the United Nations relied on advice from experts with ties to drug makers in developing the guidelines it used to encourage countries to stockpile millions of doses of antiviral medications, according to the second report.

A spokesman for the WHO, along with several independent experts, however, strongly disputed the reports, saying they misrepresented the seriousness of the pandemic and the WHO's response, which was carefully formulated and necessary given the potential threat.

The second report criticized 2004 guidelines developed by the WHO which were based in part on the advice of three experts who received consulting fees from the two leading manufacturers of antiviral drugs used against the virus, Roche and GlaxoSmithKline.

Despite the proclamations from the WHO, H1N1 has been a non-event with the exception of the extraordinary attention received by the media and public health organizations, such as the Center For Disease Control (CDC). 

What is a pandemic?  There is no official "death toll" criteria, but it is generally thought of as an epidemic over a widespread area.  To some extent, H1N1 qualfies, but if we look at some statistics, we can see that the "swine flu" was really nothing.

There are several excellent precedents for flu pandemics.  The "Spanish Flu" pandemic lasted from March 1918 to June 1920, spreading even to the Arctic and remote Pacific Islands.  Between 50 and 100 million died, making it the deadliest natural disaster in human history.  There were less deadly outbreaks of various flus in 1968-69 and 1957-58, from which 1 million and 2 million people died, respectively.  So how does "Swine Flu" rate?  The WHO estimates 18,000 deaths worldwide, of which 12,500 have occured here in the United States. 

To put 18,000 in perspective, that represents about 5% of all annual influenza deaths.  For the United States, the Swine Flu was responsible for less than 20% of all influenza-related deaths last year which are believed to be approximately 66,000. What pandemic?

The WHO was equally irresponsible in its predictions of deaths from the "Avian Flu", also known as SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome).  That flu was predicted to kill 750 million people.  To date 744 deaths worldwide and NONE in the United States.  Oops!  Only exaggerated by 1 million times!

The United States has reportedly spent more than $1 billion to procure vaccines.  While no official count exists, the vaccine itself has proven deadly to some people who have taken it.  Sweden, however, has looked into the efficacy of the vaccine in some detail.

There have been more than 350 reports of vaccine side-effects reported to the Swedish government.  It is reported by DN.se, a Swedish health organization, that side effects are more common with the swine flu vaccine compared to the regular flu vaccine. 

Unfortunately, both the WHO and CDC must justify their funding and existence based on the need to monitor and control deadly inflectious viruses.  This gives them an incentive to dramatically over-hype any possible concerns about an outbreak.  Still think the government should run healthcare as in Obamacare?

Marko's Take

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H1N1 Virus: The Audacity Of Hype!

Rivalled only by "Global Warming", the "swine flu" has all the earmarks of a costly government debacle.

So far, according to the World Health Organization (WHO), the H1N1 virus has killed 10,000 Americans, while all forms of influenza kill approximately 36,000 Americans annually!

Given these numbers, whose authenticity I have no reason to doubt, what's the big deal?  Let's put our sleuth hats on and FOLLOW THE MONEY!

It seems to me, I've heard something of a highly recommended vaccine.   And, like you, I'm sure Big Pharma's motives are completely humanitarian - in this case, Swiss-based Novartis.  As of November 19, 2009, more than 65 million doses of vaccine had been administered in over 16 countries.  Given a world population of nearly 7 billion, this means that 0.1% of the world has been vaccinated, thus making it obvious that the death toll has NOT been affected positively by the vaccine.

However, regardless of the triviality of the risk of death resulting from H1N1 itself, the COST of the vaccine is NOT!  New York City is a perfect example.  According to the New York Daily Times, protecting worried city dwellers from the virus - which did not claim nearly as many victims as feared -  newly released numbers showed an average cost of  $155 a shot.

The H1N1 panic peaked at the end of summer, when doomsday estimates put the possible death toll at 90,000 Americans.  Mayor Bloomberg unveiled a massive plan to vaccinate and educate the city.  Braced for a pandemic, the city spent $31 million on its swine flu campaign.

In most cities, the recipient pays little to nothing for the vaccine.  However, if the NYC example is extrapolated to the 65 million doses, the total cost  comes out to a "trivial" $10 billion!

The approval in the U.S. and Europe for Novartis' swine flu vaccine will help boost performance, with 90 to 120 million doses expected to be produced by the end of the year.  That is projected to increase fourth quarter net sales by $400 to $700 million.  Merry Christmas, Novartis!

To make matters worse, the cash cost is not the ONLY cost of the vaccine.  As it turns out, the "cure" itself is believed to be risky and even DEADLY.  According to a medical newsletter called "Mercola", the vaccine  contains cancerous cells from animals (http://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2009/09/08/Another-Shocking-Warning-About-Swine-Flu-Vaccine.aspx).

In fact, the insert to the vaccine admits to a wide range of side effects (http://www.fluscam.com/Vaccine_Package_Inserts_files/Novartis_A-H1N1_2009_Monvalent_VaccinePackageInsert_BasedOn1980Approvalfor%20Fluvirin_UCM182242.pdf).

Sadly, this isn't the first "swine flu" fiasco.  A similar boondoggle occured in 1976 (http://www.examiner.com/x-6495-US-Intelligence-Examiner~y2009m7d10-CBS-60-Minutes-300-death-claims-from-1976-swine-flu-vaccine-only-one-death-from-flu).  In the earlier debacle, history shows the vaccine was more deadly than the flu itself!!!!

Still want the "guvment" running health care?

You know what to do if you have some comments.  TAKE ME ON!

Marko's Take