Showing posts with label Samex Mining. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Samex Mining. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Newmont Mining Earnings Kick Off Great Season For Miners

Virtually every precious metals miner reported outstanding earnings for the 4th quarter (http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/major-gold-producers-deliver-stellar.html).

As earnings season resumes, Newmont Mining Corp. (NEM) has given confirmation that exploding earnings are NO fluke.  In fact, the precious metals mining sector, on a fundamental basis, is looking downright cheap!

Tuesday morning, NEM said net income attributable to shareholders nearly tripled in the first quarter to $546 million, against $189 million in the year ago period.  On a per share basis, the company earned $1.11 in the period against 40 cents a year ago.

The company's adjusted profit was 83 cents per share.  A survey of analysts at FactSet Research was estimating earnings of 79 cents a share in the quarter.  The company said its average realized gold price rose 22%.  The company is maintaing its previously announced 2010 outlook for equity gold production of 5.3 million to 5.5 million ounces and costs applicable to sales of between $450 and $480 an ounce. 

The highlights of Newmont's first quarter report included gold production of 1.3 million ounces and copper production of 90 million pounds.  Revenues increased to $2.2 billion, up 46% from the similar quarter last year.

According to the company's press release, "With a 22% increase in our average realized gold price, our net gold operating margin expanded by 32% to $626 per ounce, further demonstrating our ability to provide significant gold price leverage through expanding cash operating margins," said Richard O'Brien, President and Chief Executive Officer. "We also recently secured the mining lease for our Akyem project in Ghana and continue our dialogue with local communities and Ghanaian authorities. In addition, we are advancing our development plans at Conga in Peru following a successful public meeting with local stakeholders. The strength of our balance sheet coupled with the progress being made on our advanced development assets, Newmont is well positioned to invest in our project pipeline while maintaining our financial strength and flexibility."

A missing element in prior rallies in the precious metals sector has been earnings growth, despite the large increase in Gold prices.  In large part this was the result of skyrocketing oil prices - a major cost element.  With energy prices hovering in the $80 per barrel range, while GOLD tests its all time highs, costs of production are easier to keep under control while revenues are shooting up with higher realized commodity prices.

Another important factor has been the unwinding of hedge books - something that nearly every major producer has either completed or is in the process of completing.  Poorly implemented hedges had reduced the major Gold Producer's benefit from rising metal prices and created significant derivative losses.  Now that the hedges are no longer putting a drag on revenues realized, the sector is poised to continue rapid earnings growth.

The technicals for the sector also look fantastic.  The dollar has been sputtering after a blistering rally early in the year.  In addition, the Federal Reserve's desperate attempts to keep the economy liquid are showing up in increasing inflation (http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/04/producer-prices-producing-signs-of.html).

All systems are go.  The time for the hyperbolic growth phase is here.  Recently, we have written up some suggestions for some excellent junior mining companies that ought to be considered for those wishing to build a portfolio of promising positions.  Our reports on Aurizon Mines (AZK), Explor Resources (EXSFF), Vista Gold (VGZ), Tara Minerals (TARM), Samex Mining (SMXMF), Seabridge Gold (SA), Hecla Mining (HL) and ECU Silver Mining (ECUXF) can be accessed by clicking the links below:

http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/04/risin-aurizon-mines.html
http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/04/exploring-explor-resources.html
http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/vista-gold-explorer-worth-exploring.html
http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/tara-minerals-on-tear.html
http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/samex-mining-grand-slam-ex.html
http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/seabridge-gold-how-to-buy-gold-for.html
http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/hecla-mining-at-119-years-old-producing.html
http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/02/ecu-silver-mining-as-good-as-it-gets_7745.html

Marko's Take

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Monday, April 5, 2010

Gold Market Pulls Double-Reverse: Time To Re-Enter

Not long ago, the Gold and precious metals market looked ready to surprise some of us Gold Bulls and do a face plant into the concrete.  Just as things started to look dicey, we got faked-out and called for a move into cash (http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/gold-market-update-time-to-go-to-cash.html).

Now it looks like Gold has pulled off a stunningly successful "double-reverse".  For those not familiar with football parlance, a double-reverse is a manoeuver designed to switch directions twice in one play.  First, the play has you looking right, then left, then right again.  If you don't know its coming, you get faked out of your shoes.

And so it appears with Gold and Precious Metals stocks.  Just as it looked like we would get a completely surprising market reversal to the downside, the market held, gathered strength and now all signs point to a renewal of the upside hyperbolic mania that we were looking for all along.

All the market did was what it was SUPPOSED to do.  Like an illusionist, it diverted our attention while it pulled of its seemingly amazing trick.

The GOOD news is that re-entry here with Gold near the $1,125-$1,130 level leaves PLENTY of upside, especially if our longer-term projection of  $5,000 is met.  The important thing is not to fall in love with either a market outlook or individual postions and stay with the "weight of the evidence".  That evidence now is screaming BUY again.

Especially telling was the sudden surge in the Gold Bugs index on Thursday, also known as the HUI.  The HUI surged a whopping 5% indicating an investor stampede back into precious metals stocks.  In additon, some key chart patterns were resolved in a bullish manner.  Can't fight the tape!

So, now that the market has successfully faked us out, it's time to re-enter.  We did a series, a couple of weeks back on a number of promising stocks and we would suggest a review of these if you're interested in selecting some appropriate candidates.  The links are provided below.

The individual stock reviews of Vista Gold, Tara Minerals, Samex Mining, Seabridge Gold, Hecla Mining, and ECU Silver Mining can be accessed by clicking on the following links:
(http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/vista-gold-explorer-worth-exploring.html)
(http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/tara-minerals-on-tear.html)
(http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/samex-mining-grand-slam-ex.html)
(http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/seabridge-gold-how-to-buy-gold-for.html)
(http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/hecla-mining-at-119-years-old-producing.html)
(http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/02/ecu-silver-mining-as-good-as-it-gets_7745.html)
(http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/major-gold-producers-deliver-stellar.html)

In the days ahead, we'll cover more individual stocks of interest.

For now, ignore last week's man behind the curtain, and listen to THIS WEEK'S man behind the curtain!

There's a great opportunity looming ahead of us and lot's of time to board the train and enjoy a great ride.

Marko's Take

Please visit our new YouTube channel at http://www.youtube.com/markostaketv.

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Samex Mining: A Grand "Slam" Ex?

We are getting ever so close to the final precious metals launch into the stratosphere.  In fact, we believe that yesterday's $20 rise in the price of Gold will prove to be the "foreshock" to the earthquake ready to rattle investors.   With that in mind, we're continuing our series on promising junior mining companies.

Today's featured company is a very speculative play called Samex Mining (SMXMF-OTCBB or SXG.V).  This company was first brought to my attention, as was ECU Silver Mining, (http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/02/ecu-silver-mining-as-good-as-it-gets_7745.html) by Bill Murphy's must-read LeMetropole (http://www.lemetropolecafe.com/).

But if you're not a reader of LeMetropole, which you should be, you may not know about this incredibly promising company.

Samex is an explorer, which is different than a miner in that explorers chiefly find promising deposits.  How they dispose of those finds can vary.  Some like Vista Gold  Corp. (VGZ) have spun-off projects to shareholders.   Vista spun-off a company called Allied-Nevada Gold Corp. (ANV), which is a first-class producer in, where else, Nevada!

Samex explores the Andean Cordillera of Chile for rich deposits of gold, silver and copper.  This area is one of the most bountifully mineralized regions on Earth, where many of the globe's largest deposits have been discovered.

Normally, I tend to avoid companies that operate in areas that may be considered geo-politically risky.  Just ask the shareholders of Crystallex (KRY), who had their fabulous Venezuelan deposits expropriated by Hugo Chavez.  KRY sold for more than $5 per share in 2007, now languishing at about $.30 and is engaged in a war of words with the Venezuelan Government.  It would a shareholder want to "kry"!

Chile is no Venezuela and is known for mining friendliness.  Since the 1990’s, Chile has been the first port of call in terms of investing in South America and, as a result, numerous foreign companies have developed the country’s burgeoning mining sector.  Chile is recognized as the mining capital of Latin America and can be credited with initiating the investment surge to make Latin America the world’s primary mineral target.

As an explorer, earnings as a barometer of value are entirely irrelevant.  The value is highly qualitative - more a function of the quality of managment, properties owned and the company's ability to maintain funding as it completes its program. 

Samex has been steadily reporting rich finds.  The company's latest press release elaborates (http://www.samex.com/news/aa-news-2010/NR1-10-Jan21.pdf).

While Samex is not particularly well capitalized, it was able to realize proceeds of nearly $1.2 million in a warrant offering in November, 2009.  Thus, the company, despite its very low stock price of about $.30 is still able to access capital markets.

Anyone considering investing in Samex has got to look at it as a high risk/potential high return proposition.  This company is not for the feint of heart - as is ANY explorer. 

For disclosure purposes, I am an owner of Samex shares and believe that the high potential rewards MORE than justify the risk.  I would NOT recommend it to anyone... just those who are looking for an excellent roll of the dice and perhaps some diversification in a portfolio of juniors.  I would NOT place Samex as a core holding as I might view either Seabridge Gold (http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/seabridge-gold-how-to-buy-gold-for.html) or Hecla Mining (http://markostake.blogspot.com/2010/03/hecla-mining-at-119-years-old-producing.html).

Finally, I want to thank our new partners at "Stock Maverick" (http://www.stockmavrick.com/), a fabulous website for penny stocks like Samex, although with a broader mandate to cover promising companies in sectors not just limited to commodities and natural resources, as we are at "Marko's Take".  Check it out for some excellent ideas!

Happy investing!

Marko's Take

For new readers, we also have a YouTube channel, which is more oriented toward World Events and Politics, as opposed to pure investment issues.  It can be accessed here: http://www.youtube.com/markostaketv.  We will be filming 5 new segments this coming Saturday and start releasing them on a weekly basis, along with our partner, Phoenix Film Group, http://www.youtube.com/phoenixfilmgroup.




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